An Equilibrium Analysis of Real Estate

Topics:
Lease or Buy
Tags:
Business Operations,
Capital Structures,
Finance,
Leasing,
National Bureau Of Economic Research,
Real Estate
Source:
NBER.org: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Overview: This paper provides a unified equilibrium approach to valuing a wide variety of commercial real estate lease contracts. Using a game-theoretic variant of real options analysis, the underlying real estate asset market is modeled as a continuous-time Nash equilibrium in which developers make construction decisions under demand uncertainty. Then, using the economic notion that leasing simply represents the purchase of the use of the asset over a specified time frame, I use a contingent-claims approach to value many of the most common real estate leasing arrangements. In particular, the model provides closed-form solutions for the equilibrium valuation of leases with options to purchase, pre-leasing, gross and net leases, leases with cancellation options, ground leases, escalation clauses, lease concessions and sale-leasebacks.

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Format: PDF | Size: 522KB | Date: Jan 2003 | Pages: 41


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