Reexamining Stock Valuation and Inflation: The Implications of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts
- Topics:
- Inflation
- Source:
- The Federal Reserve Board
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Overview: This paper examines the effect of inflation on stock valuations and expected long-run returns. The negative relation between equity valuations and expected inflation is found to be the result of two effects: a rise in expected inflation coincides with both (i) lower expected real earnings growth and (ii) higher required real returns. But the inflation factor in expected real stock returns is also in long-term Treasury yields; consequently, expected inflation has little effect on the long-run equity premium.
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Format: PDF | Size: 281KB | Date: Jan 2001 | Pages: 44





