Forecasting Repeat Sales at CDNOW: A Case Study

Topics:
Forecasting
Tags:
CDNow,
Forecasting,
Institute For Operations Research,
Sales,
Sales Force Management,
Sales Strategy
Source:
Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences

FREE Registration is required

Overview: The author conducted a modeling exercise in conjunction with the online music retailer CDNOW to develop a simple stochastic model of buyer behavior capable of forecasting medium-term aggregate CD purchasing by a cohort of new customers. The author modeled weekly sales using a finite mixture of beta-geometric distributions with a separate time-varying component to capture nonstationarity in repeat buying. The resulting model can easily be implemented within a standard spreadsheet environment (for example, Microsoft Excel). It does a good job of describing the underlying sales patterns and produces an excellent medium-term forecast.

(Is this item miscategorized? Does it need more tags? Let us know.)

Format: PDF | Size: 133KB | Date: Jun 2001 | Pages: 14


advertisement
  • Click Here
  • Click Here
  • Click Here

Returning users: Log In Here!

Already registered on BNET, TechRepublic, or ZDNet? Simply log in.

Free Membership: Sign Up Now!

Sign up for a free membership today and get instant and unlimited access to one of the largest databases of white papers, webcasts, and casestudies anywhere. Your FREE membership allows you to:

  • Download an unlimited amount of content, including classic and current white papers, case studies, webcasts and more
  • Track content on your chosen topics of interest
  • Receive targeted email alerts when your favorite content is added
  • Save content for future reading
  • Receive our member newsletter

When you register to access this directory, you become a member of BNET. In addition, you allow us to share your information with companies that produce products or services featured in the library--so that such companies may contact you with information and offers regarding their products and services. This enables us to keep the library a free service. As a directory registrant, you will receive a complimentary subscription to the BNET member newsletter, The BNET Report. You can unsubscribe from this newsletter at any time. By clicking the Sign up button, you indicate that you agree to our Terms and Conditions and have read and understand our Privacy Policy (updated).