The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices: Market Expectations and the Price of Risk
- Topics:
- Insurance
- Tags:
- Business Operations,
- Corporate Governance,
- Corporate Law,
- Finance,
- Financial Planning,
- Financial Services,
- Futures Rate,
- Natural Gas,
- Telecom & Utilities
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Overview: Forward and futures rates are frequently used as measures of market expectations. This paper applies standard forecast efficiency tests, and some newer exact sign and rank tests, to a wide range of forward and futures rates, and in this way test whether these are in fact rational expectations of future actual prices. The forward and futures rates that the investor studies under a common methodology include foreign exchange forward rates, U.S. and foreign interest rate futures and forward rates, oil futures and natural gas futures.
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Format: PDF | Size: 282KB | Date: Jun 2004 | Pages: 25
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